Skip to main content

Netflix and Zero Hedge

So this morning I was reading Zero Hedge -- useful and weird source of financial news.  This morning Bill Blain posted that Netflix was a Ponzi scheme. Frankly, I'm not certain that Bill understands what's a Ponzi scheme, nevertheless. 

So, there are three funny things in this post:  (1) the aforementioned "Ponzi" scheme idea, (2) that there is both nothing to see on Netflix but that they spend too much money on content, and (3) That what on TV is better than Netflix.

Now, a Ponzi scheme involves paying off old investors with new investor money.  Since Netflix provides a service to more than 125 paying customers...not a Ponzi scheme, and since the company is making money (it seems that its net margin is around 10%) then on US$ 12 billion, it's not a bad business. So, its clear that Netflix is not, in fact, a Ponzi scheme (although its good clickbait -- if it was refuted elsewhere).

The second issue is content, which I admit is less than fantastic at times -- but seriously better than what you get on Amazon, which is largely unchanged from month to month.  There are two issues here; first Netflix is really a video store -- does anyone remember how terrible most of the movies available at blockbuster really were?  Secondly, and this is sad, the fact that Netflix blocks VPN means that I no longer have access to Netflix France, Sweden and other parts of the world.  I saw epic series on these various Netflix -- that are sadly not available here.  I saw the complete Girl with the Dragon Tatoo (all three movies -- in Swedish with subtitles), and many many "local" shows.  But I understand Netflix's business model.

The last one is that the writer only watches Netflix if there's nothing good on TV...about six months ago I tried to watch live TV for the first time in two years.  It was not a happy experience, never again.

Finally, there is the idea that its insane for Netflix to spend US$ 7 billion on programming.  Insisting that this represents new client acquisition costs (forgetting the other 125 million subscribers!).  In fact, US$ 7 billion presents US$ 56 per subscriber, that pays annual fees of $120.00.  I actually call that really good if you consider that its entire distribution systems is a big hard drive and computers...


Comments

Popular posts from this blog

Ok so I lied...a little (revised)

When we began looking at farming in 2013/14 as something we both wanted to do as a "second career" we invested time and money to understand what sector of farming was profitable.  A few things emerged, First, high-quality, source-proven, organic farm products consistently have much higher profit margins.  Secondly, transformation accounted for nearly 80% of total profits, and production and distribution accounted for 20% of profits: Farmers and retailers have low profit margins and the middle bits make all the money. A profitable farm operation needs to be involved in the transformation of its produce.  The low-hanging fruits: cheese and butter.  Milk, generates a profit margin of 5% to 8%, depending on milk quality.  Transformed into cheese and butter, and the profit margin rises to 40% (Taking into account all costs).  Second:  20% of a steer carcass is ground beef quality.  The price is low, because (a) a high percentage of the carcass, and (b) ground beef requires process

21st century milk parlour

When we first looked at building our farm in 2018, we made a few money-saving decisions, the most important is that we purchased our milk herd from a retiring farmer and we also purchased his milking parlour equipment.  It was the right decision at the time.  The equipment dates from around 2004/05 and was perfectly serviceable, our installers replaced some tubing but otherwise, the milking parlour was in good shape.  It is a mature technology. Now, we are building a brand new milk parlour because our milking cows are moving from the old farm to the new farm.  So we are looking at brand new equipment this time because, after 20 years of daily service, the old cattle parlour's systems need to be replaced.  Fear not it will not be destroyed instead good chunks will end up on Facebook's marketplace and be sold to other farmers for spare parts or expansion of their current systems. All our cattle are chipped, nothing unusual there, we have sensors throughout the farm, and our milki

So we sold surplus electricity one time last summer...(Update)

I guess that we will be buying an additional tank for our methane after all.   Over the past few months, we've had several electricity utilities/distributors which operate in our region come to the farm to "inspect our power plant facilities, to ensure they conform to their requirements".  This is entirely my fault.  Last summer we were accumulating too much methane for our tankage capacity, and so instead of selling the excess gas, that would have cost us some money, we (and I mean me) decided to produce excess electricity and sell it to the grid.  Because of all the rules and regulations, we had to specify our overall capacity and timing for the sale of electricity (our capacity is almost 200 Kw) which is a lot but more importantly, it's available 24/7, because it's gas powered.  It should be noted that the two generators are large because we burn methane and smaller generators are difficult to adapt to burn unconventional gas, plus they are advanced and can &qu