Skip to main content

Quebec election: The aftermath

 To nobody's surprise, the CAQ won the fixed date elections on October 3rd, 2022.

The polling numbers all the way in August showed that the CAQ was going to win a majority by a wide margin (they got 90 seats and needed 63). The turnout was poor at 66% of eligible voters -- as an example in the 1997 referendum, 97% of eligible voters went to vote.    

More interesting were the other parties:

The Liberal are the big losers here with a drop of almost 500,000 votes for the party. The total impact was that the official opposition saw its number fall from 25 to 21 seats in the new parliament.

The Parti Quebecois lost one seat but got more votes than the Liberals -- so that's good

The Quebec Solidaire saw a fall of one seat, but it too got more votes than the Liberals

The Conservatives got 200,000 fewer votes than the Liberals but got zero seats.

The story of the October 3rd election is that all four opposition parties got nearly all the same percentage of votes, but the Liberal vote was far more concentrated.  In many parts of Quebec, the Liberals were fifth, but in those areas where it won, it won big, like in the center of Montreal.

The prime minister made himself "the prime minister of the entire population but also announced that he wanted Quebec City to play a more dominant role in the economy of the province.  That means that the government will provide incentives for companies to operate in the provincial capital.  Quebec City is currently the third largest city in the province, after the city of Laval (next to Montreal) so there's a lot of work to do there.  

Maybe the prime minister will consult his minister of the economy, who famously move a lot of his own company's operations to Montreal because he was unable to find English speakers in the provincial capital...his business was selling vitamins across the continent -- where English dominates.

So, what's next?

(1) Formation of a cabinet (representative) but the economy, finance and health are untouchable.  will take place mid-October.

(2) Who will replace Francois Legault?  Even the 30 days of the election tested the prime Minister's stamina and interest in remaining the leader of the party

(3) Dealing with the rest of Canada: As Quebec is less and less loved by the rest of Canada, there may be opportunities for Quebec to leave the confederation.  One thing is clear the rest of Canada has just had about enough of the province.  This is probably the most important factor.  the rest of Canada's deep dislike of the province and its inhabitants are becoming a serious problem in its relations.  Trudeau will not do anything about it, but he will not be there forever.


Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Spray painting Taylor Swift G650 aircraft (updated)

 First, a bit of paint will not harm anyone.  These climate activities are going to learn two things in the next few days:  (1) Trespassing at an airport is a felony almost anywhere in the world.  That means criminal prosecution.   (2) removing paint from an aircraft is expensive.   So these climate activists are about to find out the reach of the British criminal system and it will not be pleasant, the UK has very strict laws about that, I would be surprised if cleaning the aircraft of all the paint will cost less than $100,000.     I am sure that when they planned (premeditation) this little show they had a very valid logic to doing this.  Tonight, they are probably realizing the depth of their troubles.   I understand that in the UK it's a minimum one-year jail sentence.    Also, good luck travelling with a criminal trespass charge against you.  I am relatively certain that the airline industry will ...
Post a Comment
Read more

Tariffs on inhabited Island

 Two seldom-visited islands, part of Australia, saw a massive increase in the tariffs they will face when exporting to the United States.   The 32,000 residents did not have much to say...being Penguines.   NO kidding, massive tariffs were imposed on Heard Island and McDonald Islands.  According to the Australian government, the last visitor to Heard was about a decade ago.   Never mind the 47% tariff on Madagascar, where the principal export is Vanilla and the GDP per capita is less than $500 a year. Not only a Stable Genus but evidently an administration that took all of two hours to proof the list of countries.    They also treated St Pierre & Miquelon, two islands part of France in the middle of the St Lawrence Gulf...
Post a Comment
Read more

Britain, France and Egypt

 The voters realize now that the Conservative Praty desire to return to 19th-century dominance has driven its hatred of the EU.  The voters realize now that departure from the EU has accelerated Britain's decline and may soon make it irrelevant.  At best it will have to kiss American arses to maintain its standing.  For this, the conservatives were punished.  The decline of Britain was inevitable, competition from Frankfurt and Germany in Finance was bound to grow.  The core of Europe (aka Germany) is aging quickly Macron seems to be winning his bet, the left alliance that won the legislative elections will not remain united for long, since they disagree on about everything.   The Far right though it was about to assume power is once again relegated to the back of the bus.   It may draw its own conclusions, but not all of these are good for France.  The far-right has won nearly 1/3rd of the electorate, that is not something to be ig...
Post a Comment
Read more