Skip to main content

China’s newish security laws

 On the one hand, China wants to attract foreign direct investment so that its population continues to prosper on the other hand China has become fearful of foreigners and threats them as convenience scapegoats.

The new securities law that were installed more than 18 months ago are not starting to bite. The reason is that since the Covid barriers have been lifted investors are starting to return to China. 

It has been noticed that many consulting firms have either sold or shut down their Chinese operations, and these operations were specifically created to bring new North American or European investors to China

Oh, it is widely known that travel between Canada and China is only 20% of what it was prior to the Covid epidemic with the US travel is less than 10% of what it used to be. This is a fundamental shift in the American investors mindset that China is a good place to invest. In fact, the numbers for China are not that good labour costs and political risk have risen;  there are easier and closer options than China as a manufacturing centre.

In addition, the US government has made the export of certain semiconductor illegal to China further complicating the process of manufacturing in China.  It would seem at first that controlling all aspect of China is more important, economic growth. If this is the case, then things for Taiwan are rather Grimm. The reason is that if China is on a nationalistic path, then bringing back Taiwan into the fold is important, it would seems that China is disregarding the lessons that Russia has failed to learn over the past 12 months it is possible that this lesson is not seen as very important to the Chinese leadership.

The reality of China today is that with a rapidly declining birth rate and rapidly ageing population China is at a inflection point, and it is important to recognize the China and the CPP are not the same thing and it may be in the interest of the CPP to engage into a limited war to regain power over Taiwan rather than economic expansion it would enable the CPP to control the decline as opposed to being forced to see it imposed by third-party 

One thing for sure, if you are a westerner and were planning to go to China for anything else than tourism you should reconsider your travel decision. It is unlikely that you know what the Chinese consider secrets, it has even been indicated that what is considered secret changes from time to time, and can even include the most innocuous information. 

One thing for sure is that for Americans travelling to China.  It will be almost impossible to obtain insurance and that will kill trade between China and America. 

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

The end of Tesla?

 it takes a special kind of idiot, to think that he can antagonize his entire customer base, and think that it will not impact his business. When Elon Musk went to work for Donald Trump, and created the doge department, he antagonized every liberal, and these people represent 90% of his client base.That’s not a brilliant move. Now Elon Musk is worth hundreds of billions of dollar, so he shouldn’t care a great deal, however, he needs to care because of several other issues. The cyber truck has been a disaster, most have had to be recalled because of defective glue, it’s not a truck, it’s not a car, it’s noisy, relatively uncomfortable, but great as a development platform. What Tesla has learned in making car manufacturing more seamless is truly amazing. The problem was that Elon Musk was so pissed with the Democrats, and with Joe Biden, in particular because of some slight, which were just plain stupid too. By the way, that he decided to support with hundreds of millions of dollar, ...

Donald Trump‘s bad bargain

 The entire of 2023 and 2024 when Donald Trump was running for the White House, his mantra was no war, that the Ukraine conflict would be resolved in a day, and that he would do everything not to involve America and war. How the world has changed! He finds himself facing three conflicts; Ukraine, still going on almost 5 months after he became president. Gaza, an unspeakable crime against humanity, is obviously going to go all the way to its bitter end. And finally, Israel’s attack against Iran. It’s important to note, that Benjamin Netanyahu first indicated at the United nation that the Iranian were 3 to 5 years away from having the nuclear bomb. He made that statement in 1995. Therefore, no one is surprised that he uses the same two lines every so often. It’s entirely possible, that 30 years after he first announced it, that Iran has finally developed the bomb. It’s also remarkable that Iran, local power has been destroyed, from Yemen, to Syria, via Lebanon and Gaza to small exten...

TACO again, but worst!

 Donald Trump got the rare earth metals that he had thrown away on April 2, liberation day as he called it. What did the Chinese get in exchange? The whole deal, is on the wrap right now. But let’s be clear. It’s the Chinese that have the upper hand.Some of the materials made by the Chinese, are simply unavailable anywhere else. suspicions are that the Chinese got the high-end chips that they lost under Biden. Tariffs will probably return to the level of April 1, and in the end Donald and his friends got nothing for it. It gets worse, Chinese exports to United States are down 40%. The Chinese have found new markets, I probably never gonna buy American grain again. Once again, Donald Trump proved he’s a great negotiator. He got absolutely nothing for his Showmanship. He told the world, that everyone would come and kiss his ass, instead they’re laughing At him. There’s no joke about Donald Trump, a 25 and inherited a huge fortune and proceeded to make it a small one. Bottom line, the...