The decapitation of the Wagner group was going to lead to major change in its African operations. Right now there are rumours that several divisions have already left their post. It is evident that this is done very quietly and be denied by everyone. It is entirely probable that the Russians are looking to replace the command systems of the Wagner group with their own commands, but the soldiers are less than interested, and have made a lot of money, and have no appetite to return to the Russian armed forces.
The Wagner group of soldiers have a little interest in returning the Russian army, which is known for its incompetence and corruption. This means that officers and unlisted men who have the means have already put in place alternative exits strategy, so that they can not return to Russia
It was telling when the offices of Vágner were overtaken by the Russian army, that they found money different identities for the head of Vágner and you can assume that others within the group had the same strategy.
We can expect denial, denial, and denial over the coming weeks as those in command of the Wagner group in Africa execute preplanned departure from the countries in which they have been deployed. This will change Russia’s activity in the greater African continent. It will change Russian activity in the Middle East in Syria particular, it is an interesting outcome that no one had anticipated.
In the end, it matters little Putin‘s real focus is on securing his countries border as far as a Cancun sure that no invasion can take place. It is a 19 century view of the world where invasion is done by tanks. It is evident the tanks are no longer the solution of the theatre of war as drones have taken over and destroyed a number of them.
And so we find yourself in the position of figuring out who will fill the Russian vacuum in Africa assist juncture it is unknown
Comments