Skip to main content

The Trump givith and market takeith....

Sooo

On Sunday the American president announced a major breakthrough in is trade confrontation with Xi the president of China.   Since then complete radio silence from both sides, the market today (Tuesday)now seems to believe that there was no agreement to a 90 day moratorium on trade barriers and that American farmers will not actually get the relief Trump told them,  is tweet, that they would get.

Today the makets reaction was brutal; the S&P  is down nearly 3%.  Now there are other issues at hand that take precedent too

-  GM took $3 billion in restructuring provision and that seems to be leading to at least 15,000 job cut...Ford took a $10 billion cut but has not announced any plant closing...yet
-  Lots of US corporate debt was dongraded yesterday...
-  yield curve for the 2&5 is inverted, usually a sign that recession is imminent
-  Trump “announced” that he will cancel the NAFTA to force congress to pass the USMC agreement (all this befor the Christmas break...)

And then there's Trump trade solution which was a temporary truce that seems to have been entirely in his mind, the Chinese have said nothing!  It’s entirely possible that he's loosing his mind, moreover this morning he tweeted “l'm all for tariffs”

So there you go

As for Bitcoin it continues its plunge into the darkness of speculation and irrelevance, not so much a told you so, but still!


Comments

Popular posts from this blog

The end of Tesla?

 it takes a special kind of idiot, to think that he can antagonize his entire customer base, and think that it will not impact his business. When Elon Musk went to work for Donald Trump, and created the doge department, he antagonized every liberal, and these people represent 90% of his client base.That’s not a brilliant move. Now Elon Musk is worth hundreds of billions of dollar, so he shouldn’t care a great deal, however, he needs to care because of several other issues. The cyber truck has been a disaster, most have had to be recalled because of defective glue, it’s not a truck, it’s not a car, it’s noisy, relatively uncomfortable, but great as a development platform. What Tesla has learned in making car manufacturing more seamless is truly amazing. The problem was that Elon Musk was so pissed with the Democrats, and with Joe Biden, in particular because of some slight, which were just plain stupid too. By the way, that he decided to support with hundreds of millions of dollar, ...

Donald Trump‘s bad bargain

 The entire of 2023 and 2024 when Donald Trump was running for the White House, his mantra was no war, that the Ukraine conflict would be resolved in a day, and that he would do everything not to involve America and war. How the world has changed! He finds himself facing three conflicts; Ukraine, still going on almost 5 months after he became president. Gaza, an unspeakable crime against humanity, is obviously going to go all the way to its bitter end. And finally, Israel’s attack against Iran. It’s important to note, that Benjamin Netanyahu first indicated at the United nation that the Iranian were 3 to 5 years away from having the nuclear bomb. He made that statement in 1995. Therefore, no one is surprised that he uses the same two lines every so often. It’s entirely possible, that 30 years after he first announced it, that Iran has finally developed the bomb. It’s also remarkable that Iran, local power has been destroyed, from Yemen, to Syria, via Lebanon and Gaza to small exten...

TACO again, but worst!

 Donald Trump got the rare earth metals that he had thrown away on April 2, liberation day as he called it. What did the Chinese get in exchange? The whole deal, is on the wrap right now. But let’s be clear. It’s the Chinese that have the upper hand.Some of the materials made by the Chinese, are simply unavailable anywhere else. suspicions are that the Chinese got the high-end chips that they lost under Biden. Tariffs will probably return to the level of April 1, and in the end Donald and his friends got nothing for it. It gets worse, Chinese exports to United States are down 40%. The Chinese have found new markets, I probably never gonna buy American grain again. Once again, Donald Trump proved he’s a great negotiator. He got absolutely nothing for his Showmanship. He told the world, that everyone would come and kiss his ass, instead they’re laughing At him. There’s no joke about Donald Trump, a 25 and inherited a huge fortune and proceeded to make it a small one. Bottom line, the...