Winter has finally arrived across Canada , and the Agricultural department finalized the harvest number for the 2010 season. First, production is down 4.6& (global) against 2009, most affected was wheat which saw a 15% drop in production. The canola harvest was also well below the 2009 level (-20%). Obviously, the markets were already well aware of the “projected” production for 2010, add to this the very poor season in Russia (intense heat and fires) and the high wheat prices are easy to explain.
At 9 am the bank of Canada ’s rates decision will be announced, rates at 99% certain to remain at their current 1.0% level.