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Elections in Quebec October 3, 2022

 So the much anticipated Quebec elections are less than 44 days away and to say that the battle is anticlimactic would be a massive understatement.

August 20, poll:

QAC 42% voter's intention between 80 and 105 seats (currently 97)

Liberals  18% of the vote between 11 and 26  seats

Who cares about the rest, their votes are so concentrated that they will be lucky to get even one seat in the next parliament.

The bottom line these are the only two parties that saw an increase in the voter's intention (the poll was done on August 20th, 2022).  To say that the election process is slow is an understatement.  No one is really that interested because the current party in power needs 67 to obtain a majority, and NO ONE believes they will have less than 80.  That's the most conservative estimate if everything goes wrong.  In fact, it's more than likely that the CAQ will obtain more than 100 seats, and thereby increase its majority (the liberals will have between 11 and 26 seats (they have 18 now).

How did this happen?

Well the CAQ has been ultranationalist in its policy it introduced Bill 96 which was passed with almost no amendments to become Law 96 a more draconian version of Bill 101 that was passed in 1977 by the then Parti Quebecois Government.

The most important change is that it reduces access to English higher education to Quebec-born children. Aside from that, the economy is going well there are labor shortages everywhere.  So Quebecers are confident.  There are major issues, Quebec is in North America surrounded by 330 million English speakers.  Still, Quebec like Britain has made decisions about its future with a complete disregard for the long-term economic impact.

As they say, you can bring a horse to the water, but you cannot force it to drink.

P.S. on the bight side it's now easier than ever to hire "offshore" workers, so all this will have limited impact on Quebec-based companies...


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