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Will Donald Trump go to jail?

The short answer is no!   The punishment was to be found guilty.   Part of the problem with white-collar crime is that it often is "victimless" not that there is no crime but no individual person was physically harmed.   The Madoff case was the exception, where people could be identified as being harmed, but Madoff's real crime was to have fooled the entire establishment for years.   His fund had been set up from day one to be fraudulent.   Those who investigated (e.g. Marcopolis) were even prosecuted by the state for implying things about "one of them".

Trump's case is far more idiotic, he paid off a pornstar who he "encouraged" to sleep with him.  No one shines in that story, The pornstar for asking money not to tell an ancient story, her lawyer looking for his cut, Trump for creating a "catch and kill" strategy with friends in the press (which begs the question:  how many were there?) and then Trump for signing an agreement and trying to back out of it.  

It's not even that Trump was cheap (although he was).   The whole case is one of very precise and some would say a little crazy election funding laws, considering all that is totally legal.  Now it is important to note that the lawyers of the National Enquirer told their boss that was criminal, which is why that newspaper walked away (especially after the CEO personally paid for a "catch and kill" story and Trump did not pay him back, as Trump had agreed).  

The question is why is Trump baiting the New York criminal justice system?   Trump is slightly unhinged with his promise of retribution, and his "supporters" in Congress for some reason are carrying his water.   Either they are idiots, because Trump will throw them under the bus, or their desire for power is so craven that they will sign a pact with the devil.  

However, realistically, Trump could simply say, I will never do it again, I am sorry and walk away with a simple deferred judgment.   Trump wants the prosecution, it helps raise money, but doesn't want the consequences, hence the game in Congress and more than likely in the Supreme Court.  This is not about preserving the nation's institution it is a one-man desire to win at any cost, and a party that is a cult of personality.  

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