Obviously, this is an impossible question to answer. Some would say that the January 6, attack on the Capitol was the first nail in the coffin of democracy. Recently, several studies have shown that nearly 40% of Americans believe that a strong president is more important than democracy. The same percentage that believes that "White America is under threat". There is a smaller percentage of the population 30% who believe that violence is acceptable. Many Americans perceive democracy as a non-event as politics is a non-event. They have seen the US government attempt to set up democracies in the Middle East (no not really but still) and they "see" the economy of Russia and China thriving -- again not really but with low information, voters will believe almost anything, that fits their social anxieties, and what the talking heads tell them So it could happen, but: Civil wars don't start by chance, they are engineered and it's hard to see what...
Life of a Norfolk farmer