well, it now seems that the Ukrainians have advanced into Russia proper almost 10 km. If this is true, it’s the first time since the war started or more than two years ago that Ukrainian have been attacking as opposed to defending. It is an important change in the war between the two countries.
it is hard to say how this will all end up. There’s no clear path to any form of victory because there can be no victories since the invasion of Ukraine has always been a way to something as opposed to destination for the Russians in order to secure their overall land borders.
What has been evident is that the Ukrainians have been largely stopped by the Americans from having important incursions into Russia, until very recently and so far most of these incursion have been done by Ukrainian develop weapons as opposed to F-16 for example that have been supplied by European countries.
it is hard to see how Putin will pursue the war in Ukraine, So much of his modern weapon systems Have been destroyed that it is starting to compromise his ability to protect other borders.
The big problem with the information we have right now is the risk of fake news. It is easy to develop positions that appear to be true. When in fact, they are not grounded in reality. It is a huge problem in war, but especially now since both sides have an interest to portray their position in a very specific way.
It remains that Ukraine seems to be on a winning streak right now and Russia seems to go from defeat to defeat. There’s no doubt that so much of Russia’s military has been put through the meat grinder that it soldiers on the front are poorly, equipped, poorly, trained with low morale. At any rate this is the situation we are right now
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