80% of polled independents in 2022 said that they did not want a rematch between Biden and Trump in 2024. Also in 2022, More than half the Democrats indicated that they would prefer someone else than Biden to run in 2024. Also in 2022, 80% of Republicans insisted that Trump was still President....(that last one is a joke)
10 days ago, the first two groups got their wishes. Vice President Harris is now the "presumptive nominee" for the job. Biden is out, and there is no one running against her. Immediate impact, a surge of support in the form of enthusiasm. Something like 100,000 people have offered to help at all levels of the ticket. The second impact, the polls have shifted. Whereas Trump was looking to cruise to a real victory (not a stolen election that he was clearly planning), the numbers are starting to look really bad for Trump. Third, the money is flowing at the rate of over 50 million a day into all levels of the Democratic races.
States that were off the battle mat are now in play, Texas which was a sure thing for Trump is slowly shifting towards a maybe. The GOP absolutely needs Texas 40 electoral college votes!
finally, it's August 1st, and the vast majority of Americans are not paying attention
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