You want proof the market in crazy

Yesterday, at 3 pm the S&P was down 2%, the news while not terrible was not good. ECRI remains in the doldrums (predicting a recession for Q4 or Q1/12) and very little data was out. Suddenly, market goes crazy; the result 60 minutes later -- as the market closes for the day, the S&) is up 2.25% -- a 4% shift in less than one hour.

First, there is very little volume right now, there is no conviction, so while the market is soft its not moving really very quickly -- although the market is off 8% from its September high and 17% off its 2011 high (so really not that hot). Over the past few days the market psychology has been one of Bear Market -- so the technicals took the market for a ride, and exploded the shorts -- bottom line the pros to the market to the woodshed and started the quarter with a nice little profitable day!

Comments

Ok so I lied...a little (revised)

When we began looking at farming in 2013/14 as something we both wanted to do as a "second career" we invested time and money to understand what sector of farming was profitable. A few things emerged, First, high-quality, source-proven, organic farm products consistently have much higher profit margins. Secondly, transformation accounted for nearly 80% of total profits, and production and distribution accounted for 20% of profits: Farmers and retailers have low profit margins and the middle bits make all the money. A profitable farm operation needs to be involved in the transformation of its produce. The low-hanging fruits: cheese and butter. Milk, generates a profit margin of 5% to 8%, depending on milk quality. Transformed into cheese and butter, and the profit margin rises to 40% (Taking into account all costs). Second: 20% of a steer carcass is ground beef quality. The price is low, because (a) a high percentage of the carcass, and (b)...

Spray painting Taylor Swift G650 aircraft (updated)

First, a bit of paint will not harm anyone. These climate activities are going to learn two things in the next few days: (1) Trespassing at an airport is a felony almost anywhere in the world. That means criminal prosecution. (2) removing paint from an aircraft is expensive. So these climate activists are about to find out the reach of the British criminal system and it will not be pleasant, the UK has very strict laws about that, I would be surprised if cleaning the aircraft of all the paint will cost less than $100,000. I am sure that when they planned (premeditation) this little show they had a very valid logic to doing this. Tonight, they are probably realizing the depth of their troubles. I understand that in the UK it's a minimum one-year jail sentence. Also, good luck travelling with a criminal trespass charge against you. I am relatively certain that the airline industry will ...

Janet Yellen from China supporter to Hawk...

There is rarely serious news in the world these days, it seems that most newspapers are filled with headlines and little else, and then Ms Yellen went to China. Secretary Yellen has long been known in the Biden administration as the voice of moderation when dealing with China, yet as her trip which concluded yesterday a hawk was born: She warned the Chinese against dumping goods in the United States. fighting words! The American administration is very concerned about the lack of Chinese domestic consumption. Even before the COVID-19 epidemic, there were already the beginning signs of a slowdown, automobile sales were off. China is facing domestic deflation (a clear sign of collapsing demand) China imports few consumer goods, they import raw materials and intermediary goods. It seems that the American administration is concerned that the Chinese administration will dump consumer goods abroad to keep its manufacturing machinery ...

Farmer Diaries

Search This Blog