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Can the Tories survive this

After my short note on the Blackpool by-elections I got one question; will the Tories survive this?   The answer is obviously unknowable, but there are certain signs, first, the Tories are still raising money, and a sizable portion of the electorate is still very happy with Brexit, they wish it was more than it is, but they generally like the outcome.    

So the Tories still have cash and supporters.    There is no doubt that the Tories will spend the next few years in the wilderness, it is overdue and necessary the "old guard" needs to take a long walk down a short plank, the likes of Boris and Liz have to be expunged from the party, and rebuilt.  

I strongly believe that between 2032 and 2033 the party can return to power, rebuilt and re-energized.   Eight to ten years should do the trick.   The question for the Tories: "What do we stand for"   An existential question especially if labour does the difficult thing and signs an agreement with the Americans.  It is always possible that Labour will try to do nothing, their leadership is hardly the intellectual giants that they had in the past and may choose to do nothing with the hope that it will all be fine.

The truth is that Britain has one chance to remain relevant, Labour could screw it up.   Personally, I would have liked Rishi to get the deal done with the Yanks, but I was told by friends that he knows he would be unable to get the necessary support he needs in parliament....its a shame!   

So there, if you are a Torie, start thinking of the next leader for the 2032 elections.  Otherwise, the opposition bench awaits.

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