Skip to main content

The Tories and apportioning the blame

The game has already started.   Some of the more idiotic members of the party are already trying to blame the fall of the Conservative Party on the back of Sunak, as if the goose was not already cooked, even overcooked beforehand.   Voters who switched from the Tories to the Reform party conveniently forgot that the "brain" behind that party was one of the "brains" of the Brexit campaign, and probably the biggest liar of the lot (thinking of you Nige).   

The truth is that whatever promisses were made by the Tories in the Brexit shitshow, doesn't matter, but the gross and absolute incompetence afterwards is proof that the old guard needed to go.  Boris, Liz and  Jacob are all gone from their constituencies.   However, the crazies will re-emerge.  Expect all three to run for the head of the party.   It doesn't matter, the Conservatives need a long vacation on the opposition bench.  The crazies will take over for the next cycle, it's guaranteed and will again suffer an electoral defeat, nowhere near as bad, but will suffer a defeat.  Labour has a solid decade to govern and to make the changes it desires.   Most are pointless, workers in the next 10 years will not require the support of the state, they stand on their own two feet, there are not enough of them.  They already have all the bargaining power they require.   

Health Care, Defence and Trade are the areas of greatest challenges.   Not education because too few British children are being born...  As our population ages (aka Me) the challenge of health care changes.  On defence with the Americans going on a navel gazing walkabout, we have to work closely with the other real powers in the region (aka The French or the French).   The new defence minister Desmond Browne is up to the task.  Keir's decision to pick him tells you how serious he is about the reform required.  Probably his most impressive coup since becoming the prime Minister.

As for Trade, making friends with Europe is a good idea, certainly better than the Tories policies of at best neglect and at worst sabotage.   The only game in town are the Yanks, and Keir is going to have to deal with them, the sooner the better.  Serious conversations with the Americans have to occur by this time next year.  It's too late now, and the Tories certainly missed the boat on that one (again).  


Comments

Popular posts from this blog

what people get wrong about tariffs

 The issue is simple. What percentage of the economy is dependent on tariff goods? The truth, is that the US economy is far more closed than people understand. People genuinely believe that all manufacturing has ceased to exist in the United States all given to China on the altar of woke policy the truth can be further from That statement. Only about 15% of US GDP is related to foreign trade. Of that amount, slightly more than half is from Canada in Mexico. And half of that is energy. What that means, is that about 7% of US GDP is tariff dependent. The proof in the pudding, is how little money tariff generates. People think that 30 or 50 billion is a lot it’s not in an economy that has $3 trillion. The impact on the US economy will be less visible but not absent. Inflation hasn’t occurred yet first because tests have hardly started to bite, but more importantly it’s such a small percent of the economy. Now certain things are critical. The rare earth metals from China were critical....

The end of Tesla?

 it takes a special kind of idiot, to think that he can antagonize his entire customer base, and think that it will not impact his business. When Elon Musk went to work for Donald Trump, and created the doge department, he antagonized every liberal, and these people represent 90% of his client base.That’s not a brilliant move. Now Elon Musk is worth hundreds of billions of dollar, so he shouldn’t care a great deal, however, he needs to care because of several other issues. The cyber truck has been a disaster, most have had to be recalled because of defective glue, it’s not a truck, it’s not a car, it’s noisy, relatively uncomfortable, but great as a development platform. What Tesla has learned in making car manufacturing more seamless is truly amazing. The problem was that Elon Musk was so pissed with the Democrats, and with Joe Biden, in particular because of some slight, which were just plain stupid too. By the way, that he decided to support with hundreds of millions of dollar, ...

Demographics

 I am preparing a kind of family tree for our children so that they know where they came from.  In my family I am the only survivor, although my brother and sister died recently they were both in their seventies (a story I told already).    It was a fun process, but it provided more than that.  First, I married relatively young I was 26 when I married and nearly 30 when our first child was born.   I was looking at my ancestors.  On my mother's side, she had 6 siblings, Four died before the age of 30, two in war, and two from illnesses.  Only she and a single sister survived.   The two boys had a child each but they died in WWII, and the other sister died as an infant.   what is interesting is that every one of my mother's siblings had children in their early 20s.   I know that my mom was hardly 20 when my brother was born.    What is remarkable is that among our friends, we are the only ones to have fou...